当年，乔布斯曾直接否定了「触控 MacBook」的可能性，他认为触控技术不太适合用在笔记本屏幕这种垂直放置的触控界面，用户需要一直举起手臂使用，很快就会疲劳。
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A void deck in a public housing block
Now every adversary and terrorist group in the world can easily access war markets that are far more advanced than what the DOD ginned up two decades ago. What makes Polymarket’s entrance into warfare so troubling is not just potential insider trading from users like “magamyman.” If governments are eyeing Polymarket for signs of an impending attack, they can also be led astray. A government or another sophisticated actor wouldn’t need to spend much money to massively swing the Polymarket odds on whether a Gulf state will imminently strike Iran—breeding panic and paranoia. More fundamentally, prediction markets risk warping the basic incentives of war, Goldenberg said. He gave the example of a Ukrainian military commander making less than $1,000 a month, who could place bets that go against his own military’s objective. “Maybe you choose to retreat a day early because you can double, triple, or quadruple your money and then send that back to your family,” he said.
特朗普的目標則一如既往地反覆多變。今年1月，他曾對伊朗示威者表示，援助即將到來。當時美國海軍正忙於針對委內瑞拉領導人採取行動，使他缺乏其他軍事選項。